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UCLA Bruins vs Colorado Buffaloes Thurs Jan 12 NCAAB Betting Preview

UCLA Bruins vs Colorado Buffaloes Thurs Jan 12 NCAAB Betting Preview

Date: 1/11/2017

#4th 16-1 UCLA Bruins visit Coors Events Center to rumble with the 10-6 Colorado Buffaloes. The Bruins are 3-1 in league play and off a 89-75 home win over Stanford, while the Buffaloes are 0-3 in the conference and off a 82-73 loss at Arizona. This contest has a start time of 11:00 pm EST.


Vegas odds have the Bruins listed as 7 point favorites, while the total has been set at 160.5. The game has a start time of 11:00 pm EST and will be televised on Fox Sports 1.


 

Breaking Down The UCLA Bruins


The Bruins have been one of the best teams in the nation in the early going and they come in at 16-1 overall and 3-1 in the Pac-12. Their lone loss this year was at Oregon and they are 2-1 in true road games so far. Since the loss to Oregon, they have won their last three games and have outscored all three by at least 10 points. They hope to keep it going vs a Colorado team that has struggled of late. The Bruins have been led by their offense, which has been one of the best in the nation so far. They have six players that average at least 10.3 ppg and have been led by TJ Leaf at 17.4 ppg, while Bryce Alford is 2nd at 16.8 ppg and Lonzo Ball is 3rd at 14.7 ppg. Ball is one of the best freshman in the nation and is heating up as he has averaged 18 ppg in his last four games. Getting that offense going in this one vs a Colorado team that has played great defense at home so far this year, may be hard. The Bruins need their offense to score as their defense has been very weak so far, especially on the road, where they have allowed 81.3 ppg so far.


The Bruins enter this game ranked 3rd in the nation in scoring, putting up 92.8 ppg, while also ranking 2nd in FG% (53.4%), 3rd in 3-point shooting (42.8%) and 89th in free throw shooting (72.6%). At the defensive end of the floor they have not been that good as they come in ranked 238th in points allowed, giving up 74.1 ppg, while also ranking 66th in defensive FG% (40.5%) and 252nd in 3-point defense (36.0 %).




Breaking Down The Colorado Buffaloes

Colorado got off to a 10-4 start overall, but then league play started and they have gone 0-3 since. Getting back on track may not be easy for them here as they are taking on the number four team in the nation. If they are to pull the upset, then it will have to come from the defensive end of the floor and they have allowed just 63.4 ppg here at home on the year so far. If that defense struggles in this one, then they are in big trouble, even though the UCLA defense is not that good. All three of the Buffaloes losses in the Pac-12 were on the road and they have gone 7-1 here at home so far and that includes a 68-66 win over a very good Xavier squad. The offense has been rather average so far this year and they have put up just 74.6 ppg here at home. They may need a bit more offense in this one. The Buffs have just three players that average in double figures and have been led by Derrick White, who is averaging 15.8 ppg.  


The Buffaloes enter this game ranked 171st in the nation in scoring, putting up 74.2 ppg, while also ranking 205th in FG% (43.7%), 264th in 3-point shooting (32.8%) and 127th in free throw shooting (71.1%). At the defensive end of the floor they have been solid as they come in ranked 112th in points allowed, giving up 69.0 ppg, while also ranking 51st in defensive FG% (40.0) and 83rd in 3-point defense (32.0%).

  


Trends: The Bruins have gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, but just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 vs. Pacific-12. The Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite, while the Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games as a favorite overall.


The Buffaloes have gone  6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. Pacific-12 and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss, but just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games following three or more consecutive road games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The Over is 5-1 in their last 6 Thursday games, while the Under is 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

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