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CFB Free Picks

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Iowa State +3
Game: (417)Iowa State  vs.  (418)Texas
Date: Saturday, November 17, 2018 8:00 PM
Selection: (417) Iowa State  +3 (-115)  at  BetOnline

The Iowa State Cyclones have been unstoppable since going to Brock Purdy at quarterback. They’ve gone 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall to put themselves in position to make the Big 12 Championship Game. If they win their final two games and West Virginia loses to either Oklahoma State or Oklahoma, they will be in the title game. Matt Campbell has already taking this program to heights unseen in his three years here. And they’re hungry for more. The key to their success this season has been a defense that is the best in the Big 12. The Cyclones are giving up just 20.4 points per game on the season, holding opponents to 12.7 points per game less than their season averages. Purdy has been phenomenal as a freshman, showing the poise of a senior. He is completing 68.6% of his passes for 1,315 yards with a 13-to-2 TD/INT ratio in his five games as a starter. He has also rushed for 252 yards and two scores, and it’s his escapability that makes him so special. Opposing defenses just can’t sack him. Texas has to be tired from three straight barn-burners. They lost 35-38 at Oklahoma State and then 41-42 at home against West Virginia. And last week they needed a late touchdown to beat Texas Tech 41-34. Their offense has been clicking, but they haven’t faced a defense as good as Iowa State this season, and that’s going to be the difference. The Longhorns are getting shredded defensively. In their last three games, they have allowed 38 points per game and a whopping 558.3 yards per game. Purdy should have his way with this Texas defense. And one thing that’s getting overlooked is that the Longhorns are decimated by injuries in their secondary. They have three starters and a top backup in the defensive backfield listed on the injury report this week. The Cyclones are 24-7-1 ATS in their last 32 games overall. Iowa State is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 road games. The Cyclones are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss. The Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win. The wrong team is favored here. Bet Iowa State Saturday.

Trojans vs Bruins
Game: (419)USC  vs.  (420)UCLA
Date: Saturday, November 17, 2018 3:30 PM
Selection: (420) UCLA  +3.5 (-110)  at  CG Technology