1* Free NCAAB Pick on UCF Knights -1 I have a really hard time seeing UCF lose this game and that makes them an easy play with the line basically at pick'em. I just think this is a really bad matchup for VCU's struggling offense and while UCF isn't an offensive juggernaut, they are a pretty efficient offensive team. The Rams enter the NCAA Tournament ranked 173rd in offensive efficiency and are one of the worst 3-point shooting teams in the nation. VCU is 331st in the country in 3-point percentage offense. UCF's is a team built around 7'6 big man Tacko Fall, who averages 2.5 blocks/game and effects a lot more shots than that. So if VCU can't shoot the 3 and don't figure to get many good looks in the paint, that leaves a lot of bad long/contested jump shots. Fall is more of an anchor on defense than an offensive threat, but that's fine. The Knights have a dynamic 1-2 backcourt with B.J. Taylor and Aubrey Dawkins. The two combine for more than 30 ppg and both shoot lights out from behind the 3-point line. I'm not saying the Knights will light up the scoreboard against a really good VCU defense, I just think UCF will have the much easier time finding quality looks at the basket. Reminds me a lot of when the Rams played Virginia earlier in the year and managed just 49 points and shot 29.5% from the field. Take UCF!
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