Fatal mistakes are made by players who fall in love with a certain team(s). The bottom line is they are all 'machines' and our job as handicappers is to identify those that are well oiled and hitting on all cylinders, and conversely those who are not. My primary focus is isolating on winning teams in underdog situations that have a good chance of winning the game in straight-up fashion. If they do, you win. If they don't, but play well, you still win. If they do neither, you lose. I like those kinds of odds. Hence, I live by the 'Woody Hayes' theory of handicapping. Hayes' contention was that when you pass the ball, three things can happen and two of them are bad. When it comes to handicapping sporting events, three things can happen when you bet on a favorite, and two of them are bad. Conversely, three things can happen when you bet on a dog, and two of them are good. Think about that the next time you're convinced a favorite can't lose.
Date | Game | Pick | Rating | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/30/2022
6:40 PM |
17 San Francisco
20 Los Angeles
|
+3.5 (-110)
|
5
|
Win |
1/23/2022
6:30 PM |
36 Buffalo
42 Kansas City
|
-1.5 (-115)
|
3
|
Win |
1/22/2022
8:15 PM |
13 San Francisco
10 Green Bay
|
-5.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
1/17/2022
8:15 PM |
11 Arizona
34 Los Angeles
|
+4 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
1/16/2022
4:30 PM |
23 San Francisco
17 Dallas
|
+3 (+105)
|
4
|
Win |
1/9/2022
8:20 PM |
32 LA Chargers
35 LAS VEGAS RAIDERS
|
+3 (-104)
|
3
|
Win |
1/9/2022
4:25 PM |
24 New England
33 Miami
|
+7 (-130)
|
3
|
Win |
1/9/2022
1:00 PM |
16 Pittsburgh
13 Baltimore
|
-3.5 (-108)
|
4
|
Loss |
1/2/2022
4:25 PM |
25 Arizona
22 Dallas
|
+6 (-105)
|
10
|
Win |
1/2/2022
1:00 PM |
20 Los Angeles
19 Baltimore
|
+5.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
12/26/2021
1:00 PM |
33 Buffalo
21 New England
|
+2.5 (-110)
|
5
|
Win |
12/25/2021
8:15 PM |
22 Indianapolis
16 Arizona
|
+1 (-103)
|
3
|
Win |
12/19/2021
1:00 PM |
13 TITANS (TEN)
19 STEELERS (PIT)
|
+1 (-110)
|
4
|
Win |
12/18/2021
8:20 PM |
17 PATRIOTS (NE)
27 COLTS (IND)
|
+2.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
12/13/2021
8:15 PM |
30 RAMS (LAR)
23 CARDINALS (ARZ)
|
+2.5 (-107)
|
4
|
Win |
12/12/2021
4:25 PM |
27 BILLS (BUF)
33 BUCCANEERS (TB)
|
+3.5 (-120)
|
3
|
Loss |
12/12/2021
1:00 PM |
22 RAVENS (BAL)
24 BROWNS (CLE)
|
-2.5 (-115)
|
3
|
Loss |
12/5/2021
4:28 PM |
19 RAVENS (BAL)
20 STEELERS (PIT)
|
+5 (-105)
|
4
|
Win |
12/5/2021
1:05 PM |
33 CARDINALS (ARZ)
22 BEARS (CHI)
|
+9 (-125)
|
3
|
Loss |
12/5/2021
1:05 PM |
41 CHARGERS (LAC)
22 BENGALS (CIN)
|
+3 (+100)
|
3
|
Win |
11/28/2021
8:25 PM |
10 BROWNS (CLE)
16 RAVENS (BAL)
|
+3.5 (-102)
|
5
|
Loss |
11/28/2021
4:27 PM |
28 RAMS (LAR)
36 PACKERS (GB)
|
-1 (-115)
|
3
|
Loss |
11/28/2021
1:04 PM |
13 TITANS (TEN)
36 PATRIOTS (NE)
|
+7 (-115)
|
3
|
Loss |
11/21/2021
4:27 PM |
9 COWBOYS (DAL)
19 CHIEFS (KC)
|
+2.5 (-103)
|
3
|
Loss |
11/21/2021
1:04 PM |
31 PACKERS (GB)
34 VIKINGS (MIN)
|
+1.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Win |
Date | Game | Pick | Rating | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/1/2022
1:00 PM |
37 Oklahoma State
35 Notre Dame
|
+2 (-105)
|
10
|
Win |
1/1/2022
12:00 PM |
24 Arkansas
10 Penn State
|
+2.5 (-115)
|
5
|
Win |
12/31/2021
3:30 PM |
6 CINCINNATI
27 Alabama
|
+14 (-110)
|
4
|
Loss |
12/28/2021
6:45 PM |
34 Texas Tech
7 MISSISSIPPI STATE
|
+10 (-105)
|
3
|
Win |
12/28/2021
3:15 PM |
28 Louisville
31 Air Force
|
+1.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Win |
12/23/2021
7:00 PM |
29 Central Florida
17 Florida
|
+7.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
12/21/2021
7:30 PM |
38 San Diego State
24 TEXAS SAN ANTONIO (UTSA)
|
+2.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
12/18/2021
7:30 PM |
13 Oregon State
24 Utah State
|
+7.5 (-113)
|
3
|
Win |
12/4/2021
4:10 PM |
24 Georgia
41 Alabama
|
+6.5 (-105)
|
4
|
Win |
12/4/2021
3:38 PM |
16 Appalachian St
24 LOUISIANA LAFAYETTE (ULL)
|
+3 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
12/4/2021
3:10 PM |
46 Utah State
13 San Diego State
|
+6 (-102)
|
3
|
Win |
12/3/2021
7:05 PM |
41 Western Kentucky
49 TEXAS SAN ANTONIO
|
+3 (-105)
|
3
|
Win |
11/27/2021
7:35 PM |
31 PITTSBURGH
14 Syracuse
|
+13.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
11/27/2021
7:05 PM |
24 Texas A&M
27 LSU
|
+6.5 (-104)
|
3
|
Win |
11/27/2021
2:05 PM |
23 TEXAS SAN ANTONIO (UTSA)
45 North Texas
|
+10 (-110)
|
4
|
Win |
11/27/2021
12:05 PM |
41 Wake Forest
10 Boston College
|
+6 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
11/20/2021
7:44 PM |
7 Oregon
38 Utah
|
+3 (+100)
|
3
|
Loss |
11/20/2021
5:35 PM |
20 Baylor
10 Kansas State
|
+1 (-112)
|
10
|
Loss |
11/20/2021
12:05 PM |
21 Iowa State
28 Oklahoma
|
+3.5 (-105)
|
4
|
Loss |
11/13/2021
7:05 PM |
35 Air Force
21 Colorado State
|
+2.5 (-102)
|
3
|
Loss |
11/13/2021
12:05 PM |
14 Oklahoma
27 Baylor
|
+6 (-105)
|
4
|
Win |
11/6/2021
10:20 PM |
44 TEXAS SAN ANTONIO (UTSA)
23 UTEP (TEXAS-EL PASO)
|
+11.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
11/6/2021
3:40 PM |
29 Michigan State
40 Purdue
|
+3 (-102)
|
3
|
Win |
11/6/2021
3:38 PM |
17 Colorado State
31 Wyoming
|
+3.5 (-105)
|
4
|
Win |
11/6/2021
12:05 PM |
25 SMU
28 MEMPHIS
|
+4.5 (-102)
|
3
|
Win |
Date | Game | Pick | Rating | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
6/13/2022
9:10 PM |
94 Boston
104 Golden State Warriors
|
+3.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
6/8/2022
9:12 PM |
100 Golden State Warriors
116 Boston
|
-3.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
6/5/2022
8:15 PM |
88 Boston
107 Golden State Warriors
|
-4 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
6/2/2022
9:10 PM |
120 Boston
108 Golden State Warriors
|
-3.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
5/29/2022
8:45 PM |
100 Boston
96 Miami
|
+3 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
5/27/2022
8:43 PM |
111 Miami
103 Boston
|
+8.5 (-110)
|
4
|
Win |
5/25/2022
8:51 PM |
93 Boston
80 Miami
|
+2.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
5/22/2022
9:10 PM |
109 Golden State Warriors
100 Dallas
|
-3 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
5/21/2022
8:50 PM |
109 Miami
103 Boston
|
+6.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
5/20/2022
9:05 PM |
117 Dallas
126 Golden State Warriors
|
+6.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
5/18/2022
9:05 PM |
87 Dallas
112 Golden State Warriors
|
-5 (-110)
|
4
|
Win |
5/17/2022
8:45 PM |
107 Boston
118 Miami
|
-1.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
5/15/2022
3:40 PM |
81 Milwaukee
109 Boston
|
+5 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
5/12/2022
7:20 PM |
99 Miami
90 Philadelphia
|
-2 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
5/11/2022
7:05 PM |
110 Milwaukee
107 Boston
|
+5.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
5/10/2022
10:04 PM |
80 Dallas
110 Phoenix
|
-6 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
5/8/2022
8:10 PM |
108 Miami
116 Philadelphia
|
+2 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
5/7/2022
3:50 PM |
101 Boston
103 Milwaukee
|
-1.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
5/3/2022
7:00 PM |
86 Milwaukee
109 Boston
|
-4.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
5/2/2022
10:00 PM |
114 Dallas
121 Phoenix
|
-5.5 (-108)
|
3
|
Win |
5/2/2022
7:30 PM |
92 Philadelphia
106 Miami
|
-7.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Win |
5/1/2022
1:05 PM |
101 Milwaukee
89 Boston
|
-4.5 (-105)
|
5
|
Loss |
4/28/2022
10:00 PM |
98 Dallas
96 Utah
|
+2 (-105)
|
3
|
Push |
4/28/2022
10:00 PM |
98 Dallas
96 Utah
|
+1 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
4/26/2022
10:00 PM |
97 New Orleans
112 Phoenix
|
-6.5 (-108)
|
3
|
Win |
Date | Game | Pick | Rating | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
4/2/2022
8:49 PM |
81 North Carolina
77 Duke
|
-4 (-105)
|
4
|
Loss |
3/26/2022
8:49 PM |
69 Arkansas
78 Duke
|
+4 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
3/26/2022
6:09 PM |
44 Houston U
50 Villanova
|
-2.5 (-109)
|
5
|
Loss |
3/25/2022
7:29 PM |
61 Providence
66 Kansas
|
+7 (-105)
|
3
|
Win |
3/24/2022
9:59 PM |
72 Houston U
60 Arizona
|
+1.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Win |
3/24/2022
7:09 PM |
74 Arkansas
68 Gonzaga
|
+9.5 (-105)
|
4
|
Win |
3/21/2022
8:30 PM |
86 Ohio
91 Abilene Christian
|
+1.5 (-115)
|
3
|
Win |
3/20/2022
9:40 PM |
80 TCU
85 Arizona
|
-9.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
3/19/2022
7:45 PM |
70 St. Peter's
60 Murray State
|
-8.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
3/19/2022
6:10 PM |
51 Richmond
79 Providence
|
-4 (-105)
|
4
|
Win |
3/19/2022
2:40 PM |
72 Creighton
79 Kansas
|
+12 (-105)
|
3
|
Win |
3/18/2022
4:30 PM |
73 Virginia Tech
81 Texas
|
0 (-115)
|
4
|
Win |
3/18/2022
12:15 PM |
41 Loyola Chicago
54 Ohio State
|
+1 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
3/17/2022
9:50 PM |
53 Akron
57 UCLA
|
-13.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
3/17/2022
7:27 PM |
72 Creighton
69 San Diego State
|
-2.5 (-103)
|
3
|
Loss |
3/17/2022
3:10 PM |
67 Richmond
63 Iowa
|
+10.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Win |
3/17/2022
12:15 PM |
75 Michigan
63 Colorado State
|
+1.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
3/13/2022
3:30 PM |
75 Iowa
66 Purdue
|
-1.5 (-115)
|
3
|
Loss |
3/13/2022
1:00 PM |
50 Texas A&M
65 Tennessee
|
-6 (-110)
|
4
|
Win |
3/12/2022
8:30 PM |
73 Louisiana Tech
82 UAB
|
+3 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
3/12/2022
8:30 PM |
82 Virginia Tech
67 Duke
|
-6 (-109)
|
4
|
Loss |
3/11/2022
5:00 PM |
70 Akron
62 Toledo
|
-5.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
3/10/2022
9:30 PM |
41 Iowa State
72 Texas Tech
|
+8.5 (-108)
|
3
|
Loss |
3/10/2022
1:30 PM |
68 Buffalo
70 Akron
|
-2 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
3/10/2022
12:00 PM |
80 Florida
83 Texas A&M
|
-2 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
Date | Game | Pick | Rating | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
8/7/2022
7:08 PM |
0 San Diego
4 LA Dodgers
|
+122
|
3
|
Loss |
8/7/2022
2:16 PM |
9 NY Yankees
12 St. Louis
|
+115
|
3
|
Win |
8/6/2022
7:10 PM |
2 Atlanta
6 NY Mets
|
+120
|
3
|
Loss |
8/5/2022
10:10 PM |
1 San Diego
8 LA Dodgers
|
-150
|
3
|
Win |
8/3/2022
2:07 PM |
6 Baltimore
3 Texas
|
-150
|
3
|
Loss |
7/31/2022
4:07 PM |
5 Texas
2 LA Angels
|
-115
|
3
|
Loss |
7/26/2022
7:05 PM |
6 Atlanta
3 Philadelphia
|
+110
|
3
|
Loss |
7/24/2022
1:42 PM |
3 St. Louis
6 Cincinnati
|
-145
|
3
|
Loss |
7/23/2022
7:10 PM |
2 San Diego
1 NY Mets
|
-145
|
3
|
Loss |
7/17/2022
4:07 PM |
5 Milwaukee
9 San Francisco
|
-140
|
3
|
Win |
7/16/2022
2:22 PM |
2 NY Mets
1 Chicago Cubs
|
-120
|
3
|
Win |
7/13/2022
7:07 PM |
2 Philadelphia
8 Toronto
|
+104
|
3
|
Loss |
7/12/2022
8:05 PM |
14 Oakland
7 Texas
|
+8.5 ov -120
|
3
|
Win |
7/8/2022
7:10 PM |
5 Miami
2 NY Mets
|
-155
|
3
|
Loss |
7/7/2022
7:05 PM |
1 LA Angels
4 Baltimore
|
-109
|
3
|
Win |
7/6/2022
3:37 PM |
2 Toronto
1 Oakland
|
+165
|
3
|
Loss |
7/3/2022
1:42 PM |
1 Texas
4 NY Mets
|
+125
|
3
|
Loss |
7/2/2022
4:10 PM |
1 LA Angels
9 ASTROS (HOU)
|
-155
|
3
|
Win |
7/1/2022
3:07 PM |
2 Tampa Bay
9 Toronto
|
+130
|
3
|
Loss |
6/30/2022
10:10 PM |
1 San Diego
3 LA Dodgers
|
+120
|
3
|
Loss |
6/30/2022
6:05 PM |
4 Atlanta
14 Philadelphia
|
-150
|
3
|
Win |
6/28/2022
7:05 PM |
5 Atlanta
3 Philadelphia
|
+105
|
3
|
Win |
6/27/2022
9:38 PM |
3 Chicago White Sox
4 LA Angels
|
-133
|
3
|
Win |
6/26/2022
7:08 PM |
5 LA Dodgers
3 Atlanta
|
-113
|
3
|
Win |
6/25/2022
7:15 PM |
3 LA Dodgers
5 Atlanta
|
-145
|
3
|
Win |